If anyone watched today’s stage they would have been left in no doubt that the strongest rider in this Tour is Bradley Wiggins but also that the strongest team is SKY. Despite all of Cadel Evans and Vincenzo Nibali’s efforts, the 11 man breakaway which moved to attack Wiggins lead was closed down easily bu Wiggo and co. When they were almost upon them Wiggins then jumped across easily and for me even more impressive was when Nibali went on the attack, Wiggins was limpet-like on his wheel down the twisty narrow descent. That shows me Wiggins is confident, strong and unafraid of hurting himself on dangerous roads and tomorrow he’ll get a chance to bear this out and take the stage. Like the marker he wanted to set for the time trial I think he may wish to do something simliar in the mountains.
With 3 massive mountain passes and 3 other smaller categorised climbs Team SKY will once again try to control the race. I fear for any breakaway attempt as the pace might be akin to a Tour stage rather than a prep race. Wiggins will show that he can ascend with the best of them but also that he can descend as well as anyone and this is important as the finish tomorrow is a straight downhill run from the top of the Joux Plane. Anyone with a 20 second gap will stay away. Likely candidates for attack are Voeckler and Nibali but I’ve a feeling Wiggins will go with them with ease. In a sprint I think he could take them both.
So my bet tomorrow is Bradley Wiggins at the massive price of 33/1 with BET 365. Nibali should also be among the top 3 and I’ll back him also.
Bradley Wiggins 1.5 pt e/w @ 33/1 BET Victor (pays 1,2,3)
Vincenzo Nibali 1 pt e/w @ 6/1 BET Victor (pays 1,2,3)